Municipal Criminal Specialization in Sinaloa: Analysis of Crime Incidence, 2017 and 2021
Abstract
ABSTRACT
Regional Analysis Techniques (RAT) help to understand human activities by connecting mathematical models, economic variables and geographical context. They address issues that seek to identify the causes and effects of dispersion, amplitude and contagion processes in economic policy, such as production, specialization, innovation or unemployment. However, although recognition of their importance has grown, they are not often used to analyze the behavior of non-economic variables relevant to social organization. Another element that has gained importance is the accessibility and availability of statistics, which makes it possible to apply ART to the study of diverse social phenomena. With this article, we propose to analyze high-impact criminal activity disaggregated in the municipalities of Sinaloa. The indicators obtained allow us to longitudinally compare records of high-impact criminal violence during 2017-2021; they reveal a detailed composition of the distribution of complaints, more appropriate than a state-level count of complaints. It seeks to add density to the analysis and interpretation of crime statistics, with an indicator of criminal specialization such as the location quotient. From the above, the distribution and performance of criminal activity within the study region becomes visible, in this sense, it defines municipal and state criminal specialization, at a complementary level to the conventional measurement of crime. It shows that municipalities have diverse trends, which implies that relying only on the frequency of crime reports in each municipality to determine insecurity is misleading.
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